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Updated 4 wk. ago
Will Waymo launch in Portland, OR by December 31 2026?
11 %
chance
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
19 outcomes- Denver, CO94 %
- Las Vegas, NV89 %
- Sacramento, CA19 %
- Detroit, MI13 %
- Charlotte, NC12 %
- Portland, OR11 %
- Seattle, WA9 %
- Minneapolis, MN8 %
- Philadelphia, PA8 %
- Pittsburgh, PA8 %
- New Orleans, LA8 %
- New York, NY7 %
- Chicago, IL7 %
- Washington, DC6 %
- Boston, MA5 %
- St. Louis, MO5 %
- Baltimore, MD5 %
- London, UK4 %
- Tokyo, Japan3 %
Total volume
$3.6K
24h vol.
$92.04
1w vol.
$429.24
1m vol.
$1K
Liquidity
$5.3K
Bid / Ask
9¢ / 12¢
Spread 3¢
Last trade
5¢
Start date
Jun 26, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 3¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 16 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 16 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 28 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 15 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 15 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 34 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 34 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 0 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 0 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 27 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 27 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 2 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 2 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 0 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 0 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 5 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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