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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Waymo launch in Washington, DC by December 31 2026?

Will Waymo launch in Washington, DC by December 31 2026?

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6 %

chance

▼ −6.5%24h▲ +1.0%1W
Yes 6¢No 95¢

Total volume

$2.1K

24h vol.

$247.054

1w vol.

$406.114

1m vol.

$688.054

Liquidity

$331.922

Bid / Ask

4¢ / 7¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

6¢

Start date

Jun 26, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
7¢$21
6¢$26
4¢$398
3¢$366
2¢$529
1¢$1,395
Asks (sell)Size
8¢$35
9¢$21
10¢$100
19¢$10
25¢$7
61¢$52
62¢$50
72¢$20
88¢$8
91¢$6

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 56%Sells 44%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy92¢30
1 mo. agoBuy8¢20
1 mo. agoBuy8¢10
1 mo. agoSell8¢12
1 mo. agoBuy8¢12
1 mo. agoBuy89¢21
1 mo. agoBuy11¢14
1 mo. agoSell89¢7
1 mo. agoBuy90¢15
1 mo. agoSell90¢15
1 mo. agoSell86¢72
1 mo. agoBuy86¢19
1 mo. agoSell14¢17
1 mo. agoSell13¢36
1 mo. agoSell87¢10
1 mo. agoSell13¢10
1 mo. agoSell8¢4
1 mo. agoBuy8¢4
1 mo. agoSell7¢20
1 mo. agoBuy7¢20
1 mo. agoSell9¢43
1 mo. agoBuy8¢2
1 mo. agoBuy9¢20
1 mo. agoSell91¢10
1 mo. agoBuy9¢11
1 mo. agoBuy91¢10
1 mo. agoBuy9¢10
1 mo. agoSell84¢0
1 mo. agoSell16¢0
1 mo. agoSell85¢6
1 mo. agoSell15¢6
1 mo. agoSell85¢11
1 mo. agoBuy85¢2
1 mo. agoBuy85¢9
1 mo. agoSell85¢11
1 mo. agoBuy85¢11
1 mo. agoSell88¢5
1 mo. agoSell12¢5
1 mo. agoSell88¢10
1 mo. agoSell12¢10
1 mo. agoBuy90¢21
1 mo. agoBuy10¢21
1 mo. agoBuy15¢15
1 mo. agoSell15¢10
1 mo. agoSell15¢5
1 mo. agoBuy89¢17
1 mo. agoBuy11¢17
1 mo. agoBuy16¢20
1 mo. agoBuy84¢20
1 mo. agoBuy86¢53

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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