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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Waymo launch in Philadelphia, PA by December 31 2026?
8 %
chance
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
19 outcomes- Denver, CO94 %
- Las Vegas, NV89 %
- Sacramento, CA19 %
- Detroit, MI13 %
- Charlotte, NC12 %
- Portland, OR11 %
- Seattle, WA9 %
- Minneapolis, MN8 %
- Philadelphia, PA8 %
- Pittsburgh, PA8 %
- New Orleans, LA8 %
- New York, NY7 %
- Chicago, IL7 %
- Washington, DC6 %
- Boston, MA5 %
- St. Louis, MO5 %
- Baltimore, MD5 %
- London, UK4 %
- Tokyo, Japan3 %
Total volume
$4.2K
24h vol.
$150
1w vol.
$1.9K
1m vol.
$4.1K
Liquidity
$404.432
Bid / Ask
7¢ / 9¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
9¢
Start date
Jun 26, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 79¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
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Recent trades (8)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 65 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 53 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 72 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 61 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 28 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 28 |
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