Skip to content

← Dashboard · Tech

Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?

Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?

Other
Log in for watchlist

89 %

chance

▲ +3.0%24h▲ +14.5%1W
Yes 89¢No 12¢

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

19 outcomes

Total volume

$8.6K

24h vol.

$491.22

1w vol.

$2.1K

1m vol.

$3.9K

Liquidity

$400.354

Bid / Ask

87¢ / 90¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

88¢

Start date

Jun 26, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 515 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 88.0% resolved YES. Their average price was 90.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 5¢
Bids (buy)Size
83¢$81
82¢$63
74¢$110
61¢$71
56¢$11
55¢$5
49¢$15
39¢$48
38¢$30
30¢$20
Asks (sell)Size
88¢$20
89¢$100
94¢$8
95¢$170
96¢$45
97¢$67
98¢$100
99¢$118

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 59%Sells 41%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy86¢19
1 mo. agoBuy14¢19
1 mo. agoBuy88¢6
1 mo. agoBuy12¢6
1 mo. agoBuy86¢20
1 mo. agoSell86¢20
1 mo. agoBuy84¢20
1 mo. agoBuy16¢20
1 mo. agoBuy12¢19
1 mo. agoBuy88¢19
1 mo. agoBuy82¢20
1 mo. agoBuy18¢20
1 mo. agoSell83¢20
1 mo. agoBuy83¢20
1 mo. agoSell84¢53
1 mo. agoSell21¢3
1 mo. agoSell18¢10
1 mo. agoBuy84¢20
1 mo. agoBuy86¢20
1 mo. agoBuy88¢7
1 mo. agoBuy12¢7
1 mo. agoBuy11¢14
1 mo. agoSell11¢14
1 mo. agoBuy11¢51
1 mo. agoSell11¢51
1 mo. agoBuy85¢11
1 mo. agoSell85¢11
1 mo. agoSell84¢40
1 mo. agoBuy83¢11
1 mo. agoBuy84¢29
1 mo. agoSell88¢29
1 mo. agoSell12¢26
1 mo. agoSell12¢3
1 mo. agoSell88¢4
1 mo. agoSell12¢4
1 mo. agoSell87¢20
1 mo. agoSell13¢20
1 mo. agoSell86¢0
1 mo. agoSell14¢0
1 mo. agoSell10¢7
1 mo. agoBuy10¢7
1 mo. agoBuy91¢17
1 mo. agoSell91¢17
1 mo. agoBuy91¢20
1 mo. agoSell91¢20
1 mo. agoBuy90¢116
1 mo. agoBuy10¢26
1 mo. agoBuy10¢20
1 mo. agoBuy10¢20
1 mo. agoSell90¢50

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Tech markets from other events.