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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Waymo launch in Sacramento, CA by December 31 2026?

Will Waymo launch in Sacramento, CA by December 31 2026?

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19 %

chance

▼ −1.0%1h▲ +1.0%24h▲ +7.0%1W
Yes 19¢No 81¢

Total volume

$10.1K

24h vol.

$52.632

1w vol.

$1.5K

1m vol.

$3.8K

Liquidity

$350.465

Bid / Ask

18¢ / 20¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

19¢

Start date

Jun 26, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 3,440 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.3% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 25.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 60¢
Bids (buy)Size
18¢$82
15¢$40
14¢$5
12¢$123
11¢$55
7¢$8
6¢$188
3¢$26
2¢$510
1¢$1,388
Asks (sell)Size
78¢$90
79¢$50
87¢$40
88¢$8
91¢$6
92¢$13
95¢$20
96¢$83
97¢$55
98¢$85

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 78%Sells 22%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy35¢24
1 mo. agoBuy65¢24
1 mo. agoBuy37¢5
1 mo. agoBuy63¢5
1 mo. agoBuy69¢173
1 mo. agoBuy31¢50
1 mo. agoBuy31¢50
1 mo. agoBuy31¢73
1 mo. agoBuy32¢7
1 mo. agoSell32¢7
1 mo. agoBuy69¢50
1 mo. agoBuy31¢50
1 mo. agoBuy66¢10
1 mo. agoBuy34¢10
1 mo. agoBuy66¢9
1 mo. agoBuy34¢9
1 mo. agoBuy39¢10
1 mo. agoBuy61¢10
1 mo. agoBuy39¢5
1 mo. agoBuy61¢5
1 mo. agoBuy39¢5
1 mo. agoBuy61¢5
1 mo. agoBuy70¢5
1 mo. agoBuy30¢5
1 mo. agoBuy42¢13
1 mo. agoSell42¢13
1 mo. agoSell56¢8
1 mo. agoSell44¢8
1 mo. agoSell52¢11
1 mo. agoBuy52¢11
1 mo. agoSell52¢11
1 mo. agoBuy52¢11
1 mo. agoSell53¢3
1 mo. agoBuy53¢3
1 mo. agoSell53¢3
1 mo. agoBuy53¢3
1 mo. agoSell54¢8
1 mo. agoBuy54¢8
1 mo. agoSell54¢11
1 mo. agoBuy54¢11
1 mo. agoSell54¢11
1 mo. agoBuy54¢11
1 mo. agoBuy30¢96
1 mo. agoBuy69¢46
1 mo. agoSell30¢50
1 mo. agoSell68¢55
1 mo. agoSell32¢31
1 mo. agoSell32¢24
1 mo. agoBuy72¢50
1 mo. agoBuy28¢24

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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