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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Waymo launch in Sacramento, CA by December 31 2026?
19 %
chance
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
19 outcomes- Denver, CO94 %
- Las Vegas, NV89 %
- Sacramento, CA19 %
- Detroit, MI13 %
- Charlotte, NC12 %
- Portland, OR11 %
- Seattle, WA9 %
- Minneapolis, MN8 %
- Philadelphia, PA8 %
- Pittsburgh, PA8 %
- New Orleans, LA8 %
- New York, NY7 %
- Chicago, IL7 %
- Washington, DC6 %
- Boston, MA5 %
- St. Louis, MO5 %
- Baltimore, MD5 %
- London, UK4 %
- Tokyo, Japan3 %
Total volume
$10.1K
24h vol.
$52.632
1w vol.
$1.5K
1m vol.
$3.8K
Liquidity
$350.465
Bid / Ask
18¢ / 20¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
19¢
Start date
Jun 26, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 3,440 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.3% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 25.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 60¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 24 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 24 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 37¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 63¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 69¢ | 173 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 73 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 69¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 66¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 66¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 13 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 42¢ | 13 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 44¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 52¢ | 11 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 11 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 52¢ | 11 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 11 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 53¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 53¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 54¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 54¢ | 11 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 11 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 54¢ | 11 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 11 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 96 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 69¢ | 46 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 68¢ | 55 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 31 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 24 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 24 |
◆ Smart money
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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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