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Updated 4 wk. ago
Will Waymo launch in New York, NY by December 31 2026?
7 %
chance
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
19 outcomes- Denver, CO94 %
- Las Vegas, NV89 %
- Sacramento, CA19 %
- Detroit, MI13 %
- Charlotte, NC12 %
- Portland, OR11 %
- Seattle, WA9 %
- Minneapolis, MN8 %
- Philadelphia, PA8 %
- Pittsburgh, PA8 %
- New Orleans, LA8 %
- New York, NY7 %
- Chicago, IL7 %
- Washington, DC6 %
- Boston, MA5 %
- St. Louis, MO5 %
- Baltimore, MD5 %
- London, UK4 %
- Tokyo, Japan3 %
Total volume
$2.3K
24h vol.
$134.68
1w vol.
$361.26
1m vol.
$704.757
Liquidity
$570.955
Bid / Ask
5¢ / 9¢
Spread 4¢
Last trade
7¢
Start date
Jun 26, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 6¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 40 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 9 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 5 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 26 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 33 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 11 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 11 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 4 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 4 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 78 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 92¢ | 23 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 114 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 57 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 27 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 70 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 70 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 36¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 22 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 22 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 55 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 25 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 81¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 19 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 19 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 95 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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