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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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99 %

chance

▲ +0.1%24h▲ +0.3%1W
Yes 99¢No 1¢

Total volume

$4.1K

24h vol.

$30

1w vol.

$458

1m vol.

$1.3K

Liquidity

$12.5K

Bid / Ask

98¢ / 99¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

99¢

Start date

Aug 7, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 178 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 95–100% seven days before resolution, 96.1% resolved YES. Their average price was 98.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
97¢$7
97¢$79
96¢$300
96¢$139
94¢$250
69¢$100
68¢$100
67¢$100
66¢$100
65¢$100
Asks (sell)Size
99¢$220
100¢$150
100¢$250
100¢$147
100¢$352
100¢$5,555

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 69%Sells 31%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell1¢12
1 mo. agoSell99¢7
1 mo. agoBuy1¢5
1 mo. agoBuy3¢313
1 mo. agoBuy97¢283
1 mo. agoBuy97¢30
2 mo. agoSell1¢540
2 mo. agoSell100¢57
2 mo. agoSell99¢250
2 mo. agoBuy1¢153
2 mo. agoBuy2¢50
2 mo. agoSell98¢30
2 mo. agoBuy4¢470
2 mo. agoBuy96¢470
2 mo. agoBuy4¢30
2 mo. agoBuy96¢30
2 mo. agoSell96¢30
2 mo. agoBuy96¢30
2 mo. agoBuy4¢40
2 mo. agoBuy96¢10
2 mo. agoBuy96¢30
2 mo. agoBuy3¢29
2 mo. agoBuy96¢13
2 mo. agoSell3¢16
2 mo. agoBuy4¢271
2 mo. agoBuy96¢30
2 mo. agoSell4¢100
2 mo. agoBuy96¢100
2 mo. agoSell4¢19
2 mo. agoSell4¢0
2 mo. agoSell1¢21
2 mo. agoBuy3¢29
2 mo. agoSell3¢21
2 mo. agoSell3¢8
2 mo. agoSell1¢50
2 mo. agoSell99¢18
2 mo. agoBuy1¢12
2 mo. agoBuy1¢20
2 mo. agoBuy97¢11
2 mo. agoBuy3¢11
2 mo. agoBuy97¢31
2 mo. agoBuy3¢10
2 mo. agoBuy3¢21
2 mo. agoBuy4¢40
2 mo. agoSell4¢40
2 mo. agoSell4¢39
2 mo. agoBuy4¢39
2 mo. agoBuy96¢100
2 mo. agoBuy4¢39
2 mo. agoBuy4¢61

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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