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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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79 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▲ +18.0%1W
Yes 79¢No 21¢

Total volume

$15.5K

24h vol.

$50

1w vol.

$5.1K

1m vol.

$13K

Liquidity

$4.5K

Bid / Ask

78¢ / 79¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

77¢

Start date

Aug 7, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,561 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 67.1% resolved YES. That is 5.6 points less often than their average price of 72.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
68¢$205
67¢$115
66¢$20
50¢$100
47¢$100
45¢$100
43¢$100
41¢$100
38¢$100
36¢$100
Asks (sell)Size
70¢$100
71¢$90
72¢$511
73¢$20
82¢$70
84¢$20
91¢$6
92¢$20
96¢$30
97¢$9

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 51%Sells 49%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell31¢9
1 mo. agoSell69¢9
1 mo. agoBuy69¢5
1 mo. agoSell69¢5
1 mo. agoBuy69¢9
1 mo. agoSell69¢9
1 mo. agoBuy69¢20
1 mo. agoSell69¢20
1 mo. agoBuy66¢65
1 mo. agoBuy34¢20
1 mo. agoSell66¢25
1 mo. agoSell66¢20
1 mo. agoBuy65¢5
1 mo. agoSell65¢5
1 mo. agoBuy35¢5
1 mo. agoBuy65¢5
1 mo. agoSell64¢15
1 mo. agoBuy64¢15
1 mo. agoSell65¢5
1 mo. agoBuy65¢5
1 mo. agoSell65¢30
1 mo. agoBuy65¢30
1 mo. agoSell65¢35
1 mo. agoSell35¢5
1 mo. agoBuy65¢30
1 mo. agoBuy34¢5
1 mo. agoBuy66¢5
1 mo. agoSell64¢60
1 mo. agoBuy64¢30
1 mo. agoBuy64¢30
1 mo. agoSell67¢20
1 mo. agoBuy67¢14
1 mo. agoSell33¢6
1 mo. agoSell77¢240
1 mo. agoBuy77¢20
1 mo. agoBuy77¢20
1 mo. agoBuy77¢80
1 mo. agoBuy77¢80
1 mo. agoBuy77¢20
1 mo. agoSell23¢20
1 mo. agoSell22¢0
1 mo. agoBuy22¢6
1 mo. agoSell22¢6
1 mo. agoBuy80¢6
1 mo. agoBuy20¢6
1 mo. agoBuy18¢67
1 mo. agoBuy82¢20
1 mo. agoSell18¢20
1 mo. agoSell18¢20
1 mo. agoSell18¢7

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