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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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24 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −10.0%1W
Yes 24¢No 77¢

Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026

19 outcomes

Total volume

$17.8K

24h vol.

$50

1w vol.

$4.7K

1m vol.

$14.3K

Liquidity

$5K

Bid / Ask

23¢ / 24¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

23¢

Start date

Aug 7, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 2,886 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 31.4% resolved YES. That is 5.3 points more often than their average price of 26.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
35¢$56
34¢$21
32¢$13
26¢$113
23¢$100
21¢$140
20¢$135
18¢$202
17¢$500
12¢$50
Asks (sell)Size
37¢$30
38¢$21
40¢$30
52¢$100
53¢$100
54¢$100
55¢$100
56¢$100
57¢$100
58¢$119

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 74%Sells 26%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell35¢20
1 mo. agoBuy35¢20
1 mo. agoBuy66¢20
1 mo. agoSell66¢20
1 mo. agoSell34¢50
1 mo. agoSell66¢10
1 mo. agoBuy34¢20
1 mo. agoBuy34¢20
1 mo. agoSell32¢20
1 mo. agoSell68¢20
1 mo. agoBuy64¢135
1 mo. agoSell64¢16
1 mo. agoBuy36¢30
1 mo. agoSell64¢33
1 mo. agoSell63¢15
1 mo. agoBuy37¢20
1 mo. agoSell63¢20
1 mo. agoSell60¢32
1 mo. agoBuy60¢15
1 mo. agoSell40¢12
1 mo. agoBuy61¢5
1 mo. agoBuy62¢6
1 mo. agoSell62¢6
1 mo. agoBuy24¢27
1 mo. agoBuy75¢15
1 mo. agoBuy78¢12
1 mo. agoBuy20¢375
1 mo. agoBuy79¢20
1 mo. agoBuy79¢56
1 mo. agoBuy79¢20
1 mo. agoSell21¢13
1 mo. agoBuy80¢24
1 mo. agoBuy80¢20
1 mo. agoBuy80¢222
1 mo. agoBuy20¢22
1 mo. agoBuy80¢22
1 mo. agoBuy20¢50
1 mo. agoBuy80¢20
1 mo. agoBuy80¢20
1 mo. agoBuy80¢10
1 mo. agoBuy20¢7
1 mo. agoBuy78¢3
1 mo. agoSell19¢5
1 mo. agoBuy19¢15
1 mo. agoSell19¢15
1 mo. agoSell18¢98
1 mo. agoBuy18¢98
1 mo. agoSell18¢20
1 mo. agoBuy18¢20
1 mo. agoSell18¢60

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