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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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95 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▲ +0.0%24h▲ +1.0%1W
Yes 95¢No 6¢

Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026

19 outcomes

Total volume

$18.4K

24h vol.

$20

1w vol.

$3.1K

1m vol.

$15.9K

Liquidity

$14.6K

Bid / Ask

94¢ / 95¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

95¢

Start date

Aug 7, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 364 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 85.4% resolved YES. That is 4.4 points less often than their average price of 89.8% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
89¢$21
88¢$563
87¢$20
82¢$100
52¢$50
51¢$200
50¢$6
45¢$200
41¢$300
35¢$300
Asks (sell)Size
91¢$31
92¢$181
93¢$544
97¢$21
98¢$58
99¢$30

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 87%Sells 13%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell90¢19
1 mo. agoSell10¢19
1 mo. agoSell90¢1
1 mo. agoSell10¢1
1 mo. agoSell90¢59
1 mo. agoBuy90¢19
1 mo. agoBuy90¢40
1 mo. agoBuy10¢10
1 mo. agoBuy90¢10
1 mo. agoSell8¢20
1 mo. agoBuy8¢20
1 mo. agoSell8¢20
1 mo. agoBuy8¢20
1 mo. agoBuy91¢70
1 mo. agoBuy9¢20
1 mo. agoBuy9¢20
1 mo. agoBuy9¢30
1 mo. agoBuy91¢100
1 mo. agoBuy9¢100
1 mo. agoBuy91¢10
1 mo. agoBuy9¢10
1 mo. agoBuy91¢100
1 mo. agoBuy9¢100
1 mo. agoSell89¢26
1 mo. agoSell11¢26
1 mo. agoBuy90¢500
1 mo. agoBuy10¢500
1 mo. agoSell89¢13
1 mo. agoSell11¢13
2 mo. agoSell9¢20
2 mo. agoBuy9¢20
2 mo. agoBuy91¢6
2 mo. agoSell91¢6
2 mo. agoBuy90¢29
2 mo. agoBuy10¢29
2 mo. agoBuy90¢1
2 mo. agoBuy10¢1
2 mo. agoBuy91¢6
2 mo. agoSell91¢6
2 mo. agoBuy90¢30
2 mo. agoBuy10¢30
2 mo. agoSell11¢20
2 mo. agoBuy11¢20
2 mo. agoBuy89¢20
2 mo. agoBuy11¢20
2 mo. agoSell86¢13
2 mo. agoBuy86¢13
2 mo. agoSell86¢13
2 mo. agoBuy86¢13
2 mo. agoBuy84¢13

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