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Updated 4 wk. ago
Will Vitinha finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4 %
chance
Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026
19 outcomes- Harry Kane99 %
- Lamine Yamal98 %
- Kylian Mbappé95 %
- Rodri79 %
- Lionel Messi71 %
- Michael Olise24 %
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia22 %
- Ousmane Dembélé14 %
- Fabian Ruiz12 %
- Erling Haaland9 %
- Vitinha4 %
- Luis Diaz4 %
- Jude Bellingham4 %
- Lautaro Martinez4 %
- Declan Rice4 %
- Pau Cubarsi3 %
- Achraf Hakimi3 %
- Bruno Fernandes2 %
- Vinícius Júnior1 %
Total volume
$12.8K
24h vol.
$10
1w vol.
$4.3K
1m vol.
$12.7K
Liquidity
$3.9K
Bid / Ask
4¢ / 4¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
4¢
Start date
Aug 7, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 291 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 3¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
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Recent trades (11)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 120 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 30 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 65 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 100 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 65 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 30 |
◆ Smart money
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