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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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14 %

chance

▲ +0.5%1h▲ +1.5%24h▼ −4.0%1W
Yes 14¢No 87¢

Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026

19 outcomes

Total volume

$14.1K

24h vol.

$1.2K

1w vol.

$2.9K

1m vol.

$11.7K

Liquidity

$8.9K

Bid / Ask

12¢ / 15¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

15¢

Start date

Aug 7, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 669 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.8% resolved YES. That is 3.9 points more often than their average price of 9.8% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 5¢
Bids (buy)Size
49¢$250
46¢$170
43¢$170
39¢$20
35¢$60
34¢$120
31¢$100
30¢$600
29¢$100
28¢$330
Asks (sell)Size
54¢$40
57¢$10
58¢$10
60¢$920
63¢$70
69¢$100
70¢$50
73¢$100
76¢$100
79¢$200

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 80%Sells 20%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy54¢2
1 mo. agoBuy46¢2
1 mo. agoBuy57¢95
1 mo. agoSell57¢40
1 mo. agoSell57¢50
1 mo. agoBuy43¢5
1 mo. agoSell56¢20
1 mo. agoBuy56¢20
1 mo. agoBuy60¢67
1 mo. agoBuy40¢67
1 mo. agoBuy56¢18
1 mo. agoBuy40¢13
1 mo. agoBuy56¢5
1 mo. agoBuy57¢2
1 mo. agoBuy43¢2
1 mo. agoBuy41¢5
1 mo. agoBuy59¢5
1 mo. agoSell57¢20
1 mo. agoBuy57¢20
1 mo. agoBuy39¢274
1 mo. agoBuy61¢80
1 mo. agoBuy61¢80
1 mo. agoBuy61¢9
1 mo. agoBuy62¢20
1 mo. agoBuy62¢20
1 mo. agoBuy62¢20
1 mo. agoSell38¢45
1 mo. agoBuy65¢20
1 mo. agoBuy35¢20
1 mo. agoBuy65¢195
1 mo. agoBuy35¢166
1 mo. agoSell64¢9
1 mo. agoBuy36¢20
1 mo. agoBuy64¢5
1 mo. agoSell64¢5
1 mo. agoBuy30¢50
1 mo. agoBuy70¢14
1 mo. agoSell30¢36
1 mo. agoSell28¢14
1 mo. agoBuy28¢14
1 mo. agoSell68¢23
1 mo. agoSell33¢6
1 mo. agoSell32¢17
1 mo. agoSell29¢17
1 mo. agoBuy29¢17
1 mo. agoSell29¢17
1 mo. agoBuy29¢17
1 mo. agoSell31¢17
1 mo. agoBuy31¢17
1 mo. agoSell31¢17

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