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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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9 %

chance

▲ +1.0%1h▲ +1.0%24h▼ −0.5%1W
Yes 9¢No 92¢

Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026

19 outcomes

Total volume

$6.2K

24h vol.

$187.516

1w vol.

$1.2K

1m vol.

$3.6K

Liquidity

$3K

Bid / Ask

7¢ / 10¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

8¢

Start date

Aug 7, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 669 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.8% resolved YES. That is 3.9 points more often than their average price of 9.8% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
5¢$40
4¢$40
3¢$549
2¢$1,766
1¢$60
Asks (sell)Size
6¢$46
7¢$50
10¢$68
16¢$38
68¢$120
69¢$50
71¢$20
76¢$40
96¢$9
97¢$24

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 86%Sells 14%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy6¢19
1 mo. agoSell6¢4
1 mo. agoSell6¢5
1 mo. agoBuy94¢10
1 mo. agoBuy10¢100
1 mo. agoSell10¢100
1 mo. agoSell9¢28
1 mo. agoBuy9¢28
1 mo. agoBuy91¢19
1 mo. agoBuy9¢19
1 mo. agoSell90¢0
1 mo. agoBuy90¢0
1 mo. agoSell9¢20
1 mo. agoBuy9¢20
1 mo. agoBuy81¢20
1 mo. agoBuy18¢8
1 mo. agoBuy19¢12
1 mo. agoBuy80¢423
1 mo. agoBuy20¢343
1 mo. agoBuy20¢20
1 mo. agoBuy20¢20
1 mo. agoBuy20¢20
1 mo. agoBuy20¢20
1 mo. agoBuy81¢20
1 mo. agoBuy19¢8
1 mo. agoSell81¢12
2 mo. agoBuy12¢40
2 mo. agoBuy88¢12
2 mo. agoSell12¢20
2 mo. agoSell12¢8
2 mo. agoSell12¢48
2 mo. agoBuy11¢8
2 mo. agoBuy12¢40
2 mo. agoSell6¢6
2 mo. agoBuy6¢6
2 mo. agoBuy7¢40
2 mo. agoSell7¢40
2 mo. agoBuy95¢84
2 mo. agoBuy5¢84
2 mo. agoBuy94¢35
2 mo. agoBuy6¢35
2 mo. agoBuy92¢893
2 mo. agoBuy6¢165
2 mo. agoBuy7¢200
2 mo. agoBuy8¢6
2 mo. agoBuy8¢200
2 mo. agoBuy9¢30
2 mo. agoBuy9¢50
2 mo. agoSell90¢216
2 mo. agoBuy12¢5

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A signal is present in this market.

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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