Skip to content

← Dashboard · Sports

Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Other
Log in for watchlist

3 %

chance

▲ +0.3%1h▼ −0.8%24h▼ −0.4%1W
Yes 3¢No 97¢

Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026

19 outcomes

Total volume

$7.4K

24h vol.

$99.99

1w vol.

$3.4K

1m vol.

$6K

Liquidity

$2.7K

Bid / Ask

3¢ / 3¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

3¢

Start date

Aug 7, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 291 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
2¢$70
2¢$40
1¢$8
1¢$8
1¢$37
1¢$44
0¢$119
0¢$361
Asks (sell)Size
5¢$8
5¢$5
6¢$23
6¢$20
8¢$209
19¢$42
19¢$80
20¢$100
22¢$100
24¢$100

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 64%Sells 36%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell1¢40
1 mo. agoBuy1¢11
1 mo. agoBuy1¢10
1 mo. agoBuy1¢11
1 mo. agoBuy1¢8
1 mo. agoSell1¢13
1 mo. agoBuy1¢2
1 mo. agoBuy1¢11
1 mo. agoSell3¢186
1 mo. agoBuy2¢13
1 mo. agoBuy2¢40
1 mo. agoBuy3¢55
1 mo. agoBuy3¢38
1 mo. agoSell96¢20
1 mo. agoSell96¢20
1 mo. agoSell96¢0
1 mo. agoBuy96¢20
1 mo. agoSell96¢20
1 mo. agoSell90¢40
1 mo. agoSell17¢2
1 mo. agoBuy90¢20
1 mo. agoBuy90¢18
1 mo. agoSell92¢40
1 mo. agoBuy90¢2
1 mo. agoBuy91¢20
1 mo. agoSell8¢18
1 mo. agoSell92¢40
1 mo. agoSell8¢40
1 mo. agoBuy5¢186
1 mo. agoSell7¢6
1 mo. agoBuy95¢40
1 mo. agoBuy95¢40
1 mo. agoBuy95¢40
1 mo. agoSell5¢20
1 mo. agoSell5¢40
1 mo. agoSell3¢12
1 mo. agoBuy3¢12
2 mo. agoSell3¢200
2 mo. agoBuy3¢200
2 mo. agoBuy96¢80
2 mo. agoBuy4¢30
2 mo. agoBuy4¢50
2 mo. agoSell5¢5
2 mo. agoBuy5¢5
2 mo. agoBuy96¢160
2 mo. agoBuy4¢10
2 mo. agoBuy4¢150
2 mo. agoBuy95¢20
2 mo. agoBuy5¢20
2 mo. agoBuy95¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Sports markets from other events.