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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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12 %

chance

▼ −0.2%24h▼ −4.5%1W
Yes 12¢No 88¢

Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026

19 outcomes

Total volume

$24.4K

24h vol.

$50

1w vol.

$1.7K

1m vol.

$21.4K

Liquidity

$3.8K

Bid / Ask

11¢ / 14¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

11¢

Start date

Aug 7, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 669 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.8% resolved YES. That is 3.9 points more often than their average price of 9.8% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
8¢$135
7¢$70
6¢$70
5¢$1,280
2¢$6
1¢$88
Asks (sell)Size
10¢$205
11¢$129
12¢$40
15¢$6
20¢$6
25¢$6
29¢$100
30¢$6
35¢$6
39¢$200

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 87%Sells 13%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy10¢10
1 mo. agoSell10¢10
1 mo. agoBuy91¢10
1 mo. agoBuy9¢10
1 mo. agoBuy91¢110
1 mo. agoBuy9¢110
1 mo. agoSell9¢20
1 mo. agoBuy9¢20
1 mo. agoSell9¢20
1 mo. agoBuy9¢20
1 mo. agoSell10¢129
1 mo. agoBuy9¢31
1 mo. agoBuy10¢20
1 mo. agoBuy10¢20
1 mo. agoBuy10¢10
1 mo. agoSell90¢47
1 mo. agoBuy11¢9
1 mo. agoSell11¢9
1 mo. agoSell8¢20
1 mo. agoBuy8¢20
1 mo. agoBuy91¢296
1 mo. agoBuy9¢20
1 mo. agoBuy9¢21
1 mo. agoBuy9¢255
1 mo. agoBuy13¢8
1 mo. agoBuy87¢8
1 mo. agoSell87¢55
1 mo. agoBuy87¢55
1 mo. agoBuy90¢55
1 mo. agoBuy8¢5
1 mo. agoBuy10¢50
1 mo. agoBuy13¢68
1 mo. agoBuy87¢68
1 mo. agoBuy88¢680
1 mo. agoBuy12¢680
1 mo. agoBuy13¢23
1 mo. agoBuy87¢23
1 mo. agoBuy89¢3
1 mo. agoBuy11¢3
2 mo. agoSell14¢71
2 mo. agoBuy11¢3
2 mo. agoBuy13¢20
2 mo. agoBuy15¢31
2 mo. agoSell85¢16
2 mo. agoSell82¢52
2 mo. agoBuy82¢52
2 mo. agoBuy17¢106
2 mo. agoBuy82¢3
2 mo. agoBuy83¢52
2 mo. agoBuy83¢51

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A signal is present in this market.

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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