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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026?

Politics

3 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▼ −0.5%24h▲ +0.2%1W

Yes 3¢No 97¢

Total volume

$190.742

24h vol.

$14.37

1w vol.

$14.37

1m vol.

$34.37

Liquidity

$170.36

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 5¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

3¢

Start date

Oct 1, 2026

End date

Oct 31, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 400 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 6¢

Bids (buy)Size

4¢$80

3¢$8

2¢$106

1¢$107

Asks (sell)Size

10¢$101

11¢$20

17¢$20

98¢$30

99¢$78

Snapshot from cache

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Recent trades (6)

Buys 100%Sells 0%

Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
Time	Side	Price	Size
3 wk. ago	Buy	90¢	101
3 wk. ago	Buy	10¢	20
3 wk. ago	Buy	10¢	20
3 wk. ago	Buy	10¢	21
3 wk. ago	Buy	10¢	20
3 wk. ago	Buy	10¢	20

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