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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Chuck Schumer by October 31, 2026?

Politics

40 %

chance

▲ +8.5%1h▼ −20.8%24h▼ −23.3%1W

Yes 40¢No 60¢

Total volume

$5.6K

24h vol.

$2.225

1w vol.

$607.468

1m vol.

$5.6K

Liquidity

$85.016

Bid / Ask

8¢ / 72¢

Spread 65¢

Last trade

46¢

Start date

Oct 1, 2026

End date

Oct 31, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 47¢

Bids (buy)Size

51¢$20

6¢$10

5¢$150

4¢$250

3¢$417

2¢$632

1¢$1,790

Asks (sell)Size

98¢$30

99¢$78

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (2)

Buys 100%Sells 0%

Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
Time	Side	Price	Size
3 wk. ago	Buy	51¢	20
3 wk. ago	Buy	49¢	20

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