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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Stephen Colbert by October 31, 2026?

Politics

18 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▲ +1.5%24h▲ +1.5%1W

Yes 18¢No 82¢

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

25 outcomes

Total volume

$18.278

24h vol.

$12.18

1w vol.

$12.18

1m vol.

$12.18

Liquidity

$185.768

Bid / Ask

17¢ / 19¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

15¢

Start date

Oct 1, 2026

End date

Oct 31, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 154 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.1% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 21¢

Bids (buy)Size

4¢$7

3¢$57

2¢$292

1¢$426

Asks (sell)Size

25¢$20

30¢$5

47¢$20

51¢$20

98¢$5

99¢$78

Snapshot from cache

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Recent trades

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