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Updated 2 wk. ago

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026?

Politics

1 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▼ −2.9%24h▼ −5.1%1W

Yes 1¢No 99¢

Total volume

$548.476

24h vol.

$134.12

1w vol.

$205.347

1m vol.

$548.476

Liquidity

$231.052

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 1¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Oct 1, 2026

End date

Oct 31, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 5¢

Bids (buy)Size

0¢$13

0¢$204

0¢$208

0¢$169

Asks (sell)Size

6¢$30

6¢$20

10¢$26

15¢$20

25¢$2,000

26¢$225

26¢$1,000

50¢$248

50¢$1,100

98¢$32

Snapshot from cache

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Recent trades (13)

Buys 94%Sells 6%

Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
Time	Side	Price	Size
3 wk. ago	Sell	1¢	20
3 wk. ago	Buy	0¢	4
3 wk. ago	Buy	1¢	10
3 wk. ago	Buy	1¢	6
3 wk. ago	Buy	87¢	123
3 wk. ago	Buy	10¢	21
3 wk. ago	Buy	14¢	20
3 wk. ago	Buy	14¢	20
3 wk. ago	Buy	14¢	22
3 wk. ago	Buy	14¢	20
3 wk. ago	Buy	14¢	20
3 wk. ago	Buy	97¢	20
3 wk. ago	Buy	3¢	20

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