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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by October 31, 2026?

Politics

6 %

chance

▲ +2.5%1h▲ +0.4%24h▲ +3.3%1W

Yes 6¢No 94¢

Total volume

$2.5K

24h vol.

$31

1w vol.

$217.582

1m vol.

$2.5K

Liquidity

$152.231

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 10¢

Spread 9¢

Last trade

3¢

Start date

Oct 1, 2026

End date

Oct 31, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 14¢

Bids (buy)Size

5¢$21

2¢$31

1¢$77

Asks (sell)Size

19¢$100

46¢$20

50¢$20

97¢$23

98¢$47

99¢$18

Snapshot from cache

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Recent trades (2)

Buys 100%Sells 0%

Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
Time	Side	Price	Size
3 wk. ago	Buy	54¢	20
3 wk. ago	Buy	46¢	20

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