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Updated 2 wk. ago

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by October 31, 2026?

Politics

2 %

chance

▲ +0.7%24h▼ −0.9%1W

Yes 2¢No 98¢

Total volume

$441.616

24h vol.

$10

1w vol.

$157.881

1m vol.

$441.616

Liquidity

$114.568

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 3¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

9¢

Start date

Oct 1, 2026

End date

Oct 31, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢

Bids (buy)Size

4¢$505

3¢$64

2¢$25

1¢$42

Asks (sell)Size

7¢$421

8¢$152

9¢$42

11¢$11

94¢$10

95¢$20

98¢$23

99¢$20

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (19)

Buys 85%Sells 15%

Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
Time	Side	Price	Size
3 wk. ago	Sell	93¢	14
3 wk. ago	Buy	93¢	14
3 wk. ago	Buy	7¢	14
3 wk. ago	Buy	93¢	14
3 wk. ago	Sell	2¢	10
3 wk. ago	Buy	2¢	10
3 wk. ago	Sell	3¢	60
3 wk. ago	Buy	3¢	10
3 wk. ago	Buy	3¢	50
3 wk. ago	Buy	92¢	20
3 wk. ago	Buy	8¢	20
3 wk. ago	Buy	91¢	142
3 wk. ago	Buy	9¢	60
3 wk. ago	Buy	9¢	20
3 wk. ago	Buy	9¢	21
3 wk. ago	Buy	9¢	21
3 wk. ago	Buy	9¢	20
3 wk. ago	Buy	90¢	21
3 wk. ago	Buy	10¢	21

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