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Updated 2 wk. ago

Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by October 31, 2026?

Politics

1 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▼ −2.1%24h▼ −0.4%1W

Yes 1¢No 99¢

Total volume

$2.4K

24h vol.

$502.77

1w vol.

$527.8

1m vol.

$2.4K

Liquidity

$342.21

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 2¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Oct 1, 2026

End date

Oct 31, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 7¢

Bids (buy)Size

3¢$300

3¢$84

2¢$10

2¢$20

1¢$10

1¢$12

1¢$19

1¢$7

0¢$50

Asks (sell)Size

10¢$9

10¢$127

10¢$308

12¢$20

25¢$2,000

50¢$100

98¢$32

98¢$47

99¢$10

100¢$20

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (23)

Buys 95%Sells 5%

Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
Time	Side	Price	Size
3 wk. ago	Sell	3¢	20
3 wk. ago	Buy	3¢	12
3 wk. ago	Buy	3¢	8
3 wk. ago	Buy	87¢	322
3 wk. ago	Buy	12¢	20
3 wk. ago	Buy	12¢	20
3 wk. ago	Buy	12¢	80
3 wk. ago	Buy	13¢	20
3 wk. ago	Buy	13¢	72
3 wk. ago	Buy	13¢	20
3 wk. ago	Buy	13¢	20
3 wk. ago	Buy	13¢	20
3 wk. ago	Buy	13¢	50
3 wk. ago	Buy	90¢	22
3 wk. ago	Buy	3¢	1
3 wk. ago	Buy	10¢	21
3 wk. ago	Buy	86¢	20
3 wk. ago	Buy	14¢	20
3 wk. ago	Sell	17¢	21
3 wk. ago	Buy	17¢	1
3 wk. ago	Buy	17¢	20
3 wk. ago	Buy	83¢	21
3 wk. ago	Buy	17¢	21

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