← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 2 wk. ago
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?
6 %
chance
Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?
25 outcomes- Kaitlan Collins88 %
- J.B. Pritzker72 %
- Tucker Carlson69 %
- Hakeem Jeffries56 %
- Elizabeth Warren55 %
- Hillary Clinton47 %
- Mark Carney44 %
- Chuck Schumer40 %
- Stephen Colbert18 %
- Friedrich Merz17 %
- Emmanuel Macron15 %
- Candace Owens14 %
- Ken Paxton14 %
- Zohran Mamdani14 %
- Mike Rogers8 %
- Dario Amodei7 %
- Benjamin Netanyahu6 %
- Pope Leo XIV6 %
- Masoud Pezeshkian5 %
- Andy Burnham4 %
- Kevin Warsh3 %
- Vladimir Putin3 %
- Elon Musk2 %
- J.D. Vance1 %
- Xi Jinping1 %
Total volume
$1.5K
24h vol.
$65.52
1w vol.
$618.243
1m vol.
$1.5K
Liquidity
$333.049
Bid / Ask
4¢ / 8¢
Spread 4¢
Last trade
5¢
Start date
Oct 1, 2026
End date
Oct 31, 2026
ends in 2 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 5¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (19)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 100 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 23 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 23 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 21 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 1 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
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A signal is present in this market.
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Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.