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Updated 1 day ago

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine?

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine?

Politics
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1 %

chance

▼ −0.1%24h
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Market brief

  • Last 50 trades: 7 buys, 43 sells; the largest was $500 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before the end resolved YES (700 cases).
  • Scheduled to end in 21 hr. (Nov 3, 2026).

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Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)

50 outcomes
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Total volume

$223.9K

24h vol.

$36.3K

1w vol.

$223.9K

1m vol.

$223.9K

Liquidity

$1.2M

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Oct 26, 2026

End date

Nov 3, 2026

ends in 21 hr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 700 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before resolution, 1.9% resolved YES. Their average price was 0.8%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$513
1¢$1,016
1¢$11,821
1¢$54,020
0¢$18,390
0¢$11,712
0¢$4,884,690
0¢$3,481,618
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$14,758
1¢$15,134
1¢$15,397
1¢$3,025
1¢$1,083,805
2¢$19,000
2¢$50,467
2¢$200
2¢$200
2¢$200

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 89%Sells 11%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 day agoSell1¢140
1 day agoBuy1¢640
1 day agoSell1¢100
1 day agoSell1¢100
1 day agoSell1¢100
1 day agoSell1¢100
1 day agoSell1¢100
1 day agoSell1¢40
1 day agoSell1¢0
1 day agoSell1¢60
2 days agoBuy1¢25
2 days agoSell1¢20
2 days agoBuy1¢5
2 days agoBuy1¢80
2 days agoSell1¢118
2 days agoSell1¢100
2 days agoSell1¢54
2 days agoSell1¢50
2 days agoSell1¢50
2 days agoSell1¢50
2 days agoSell1¢50
2 days agoSell1¢100
2 days agoSell1¢100
2 days agoSell1¢50
2 days agoBuy1¢5
2 days agoBuy1¢31,497
2 days agoSell1¢1,400
2 days agoSell1¢1,503
2 days agoSell1¢25
2 days agoSell1¢751
2 days agoSell1¢501
2 days agoSell1¢501
2 days agoSell1¢634
2 days agoSell1¢751
2 days agoSell1¢751
2 days agoSell1¢751
2 days agoSell1¢501
2 days agoSell1¢7
2 days agoSell1¢410
2 days agoBuy1¢63,053
3 days agoSell1¢803
3 days agoSell1¢8
3 days agoSell1¢94
3 days agoSell1¢33
3 days agoSell1¢66
3 days agoSell1¢100
3 days agoSell1¢100
3 days agoSell1¢100
3 days agoSell1¢100
3 days agoSell1¢100

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