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Updated 5 days ago

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio?

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio?

Politics
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0 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▼ −0.1%24h
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Market brief

  • Last 50 trades: 1 buys, 49 sells; the largest was $194 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before the end resolved YES (700 cases).
  • Scheduled to end in 21 hr. (Nov 3, 2026).

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Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)

50 outcomes
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Total volume

$177.9K

24h vol.

$56.4K

1w vol.

$177.9K

1m vol.

$177.9K

Liquidity

$513.6K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Oct 26, 2026

End date

Nov 3, 2026

ends in 21 hr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 700 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before resolution, 1.9% resolved YES. Their average price was 0.8%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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See plans · 7 days for $3
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$20
0¢$500
0¢$5,600
0¢$6,200
0¢$27,984
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$126
1¢$254
1¢$740
2¢$100
2¢$12
2¢$7,175
2¢$420
3¢$500
3¢$653
3¢$20

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 3%Sells 97%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
5 days agoSell1¢0
5 days agoSell1¢20
6 days agoSell1¢341
6 days agoSell1¢20
6 days agoSell1¢274
6 days agoSell2¢20
6 days agoSell2¢145
6 days agoSell2¢165
6 days agoSell3¢100
6 days agoSell3¢100
6 days agoSell3¢100
6 days agoSell3¢20
6 days agoSell3¢100
6 days agoSell3¢30
6 days agoSell3¢32
6 days agoSell3¢71
6 days agoSell3¢100
6 days agoSell3¢100
6 days agoSell3¢1
6 days agoSell3¢23
6 days agoSell3¢30
6 days agoSell3¢20
6 days agoSell3¢20
6 days agoSell3¢20
6 days agoSell3¢200
6 days agoSell3¢20
6 days agoSell3¢4
6 days agoSell3¢1
6 days agoSell3¢2
6 days agoSell3¢11
6 days agoSell3¢16
6 days agoSell4¢6
6 days agoSell4¢17
6 days agoSell4¢14
6 days agoSell4¢12
6 days agoSell4¢5
6 days agoSell0¢18
6 days agoSell0¢60
6 days agoBuy4¢73
6 days agoSell2¢13
6 days agoSell0¢6
6 days agoSell0¢30
6 days agoSell0¢17
1 wk. agoSell1¢11
1 wk. agoSell1¢11
1 wk. agoSell1¢10
1 wk. agoSell1¢1
1 wk. agoSell1¢10
1 wk. agoSell1¢1
1 wk. agoSell1¢1

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