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Updated 1 day ago

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

2 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▲ +1.3%24h
Yes 2¢No 98¢
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Market brief

  • At 2%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Last 20 trades: 3 buys, 17 sells; the largest was $99 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (602 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 1 wk. (Nov 20, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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Elon Musk # tweets November 13 - November 20, 2026?

30 outcomes
See all 30 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$1.7K

24h vol.

$1K

Liquidity

$6.2K

End date

Nov 20, 2026

ends in 1 wk.

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$1.7K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 3¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

Nov 10, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$5
1¢$100
1¢$18
1¢$9
1¢$55
1¢$134
1¢$142
1¢$500
1¢$300
0¢$1,050
Asks (sell)Size
2¢$122
3¢$127
3¢$5
3¢$38
3¢$5
3¢$34
3¢$98
3¢$193
5¢$100
7¢$30

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (20)

Buys 61%Sells 39%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 day agoBuy2¢260
1 day agoBuy1¢139
1 day agoSell1¢143
1 day agoBuy1¢188
1 day agoSell1¢100
1 day agoSell1¢14
1 day agoSell1¢6
1 day agoSell1¢20
2 days agoSell2¢6
2 days agoSell2¢6
2 days agoSell2¢6
2 days agoSell2¢6
2 days agoSell2¢15
2 days agoSell2¢5
2 days agoSell2¢6
2 days agoSell1¢7
2 days agoSell1¢8
2 days agoSell1¢6
2 days agoSell1¢9
2 days agoSell1¢10
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 13 12:00 PM ET to November 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 13 - November 20, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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