Skip to content

← Politics odds

Updated 1 day ago

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

10 %

chance

▲ +1.0%1h▼ −1.5%24h
Yes 10¢No 91¢

Market brief

  • Last 27 trades: 5 buys, 22 sells; the largest was $114 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 7% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before the end resolved YES (399 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 1 wk. (Nov 20, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

◆ Your call

What's your number?

Pick your own probability before you read the AI — then see how it compares.

50%
Saved in this browser only. No account needed.

Result by email

Find out how it ends

One email when this market resolves. No account needed.

We send a confirmation link first. After the result email, we delete your address. Privacy

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

Request analysisPart of every plan · 7 days for $3

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$2.7K

24h vol.

$1.6K

Liquidity

$9.8K

End date

Nov 20, 2026

ends in 1 wk.

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
  • Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
See plans · 7 days for $3
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$2.7K

Bid / Ask

9¢ / 10¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

10¢

Start date

Nov 10, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
10¢$1,839
9¢$265
8¢$1,358
7¢$370
6¢$519
5¢$595
4¢$579
3¢$38,632
2¢$1,000
1¢$3,633
Asks (sell)Size
11¢$140
12¢$186
13¢$1,451
14¢$230
15¢$1,504
16¢$159
17¢$70
19¢$20
20¢$300
21¢$200

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (27)

Buys 31%Sells 69%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 day agoBuy11¢136
1 day agoBuy11¢47
1 day agoSell10¢100
1 day agoSell10¢14
1 day agoSell10¢6
1 day agoSell10¢20
1 day agoBuy12¢116
1 day agoSell10¢103
1 day agoSell11¢50
1 day agoSell10¢59
1 day agoSell11¢20
1 day agoSell10¢62
1 day agoBuy11¢9
2 days agoSell10¢72
2 days agoSell10¢127
2 days agoSell10¢6
2 days agoSell10¢6
2 days agoSell10¢6
2 days agoSell10¢6
2 days agoSell10¢15
2 days agoSell10¢5
2 days agoSell10¢6
2 days agoSell10¢7
2 days agoSell10¢8
2 days agoSell10¢6
2 days agoSell10¢9
2 days agoBuy15¢7
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 13 12:00 PM ET to November 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 13 - November 20, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

Related markets

Open Politics markets from other events — closest to this one first.

Keep exploring