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Updated 1 day ago

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

10 %

chance

▼ −4.0%24h
Yes 10¢No 91¢

Market brief

  • Down 4.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 13% on Nov 10, 2026.
  • Last 45 trades: 14 buys, 31 sells; the largest was $97 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 7% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before the end resolved YES (399 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 1 wk. (Nov 20, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$4.4K

24h vol.

$2.6K

Liquidity

$10.3K

End date

Nov 20, 2026

ends in 1 wk.

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$4.4K

Bid / Ask

9¢ / 10¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

10¢

Start date

Nov 10, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
12¢$1,254
11¢$793
10¢$726
9¢$200
8¢$90
7¢$755
6¢$445
5¢$500
4¢$29,838
3¢$500
Asks (sell)Size
13¢$129
14¢$499
15¢$1,930
16¢$289
17¢$99
18¢$66
19¢$5
20¢$302
22¢$16
23¢$50

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (45)

Buys 42%Sells 58%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 day agoBuy13¢10
1 day agoBuy13¢115
1 day agoSell12¢31
1 day agoSell12¢31
1 day agoSell12¢36
1 day agoSell12¢37
1 day agoSell12¢29
1 day agoBuy13¢36
1 day agoBuy13¢35
1 day agoBuy13¢37
1 day agoBuy13¢39
1 day agoBuy13¢43
1 day agoSell12¢14
1 day agoSell12¢6
1 day agoSell12¢20
1 day agoBuy13¢100
1 day agoSell12¢103
1 day agoSell12¢59
1 day agoSell12¢52
1 day agoSell12¢51
1 day agoSell12¢45
1 day agoSell12¢50
1 day agoSell13¢52
1 day agoBuy15¢21
1 day agoBuy13¢206
1 day agoBuy15¢40
1 day agoBuy14¢20
1 day agoSell12¢42
1 day agoBuy12¢20
2 days agoSell11¢59
2 days agoSell11¢72
2 days agoSell11¢109
2 days agoSell11¢6
2 days agoSell11¢6
2 days agoSell11¢6
2 days agoSell11¢6
2 days agoSell11¢15
2 days agoSell11¢5
2 days agoSell11¢6
2 days agoSell11¢8
2 days agoSell11¢7
2 days agoSell11¢6
2 days agoSell11¢9
2 days agoSell11¢9
2 days agoBuy15¢7
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 13 12:00 PM ET to November 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 13 - November 20, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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