Updated 1 day ago
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?
1 %
chance
Market brief
- At 1%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
- Last 19 trades: 2 buys, 17 sells; the largest was $99 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (602 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
- Scheduled to end in 1 wk. (Nov 20, 2026).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Elon Musk # tweets November 13 - November 20, 2026?
30 outcomesUnderstand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$2.1K
24h vol.
$1.2K
Liquidity
$8.6K
End date
Nov 20, 2026
ends in 1 wk.
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
1w vol.
$2.1K
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 1¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
1¢
Start date
Nov 10, 2026
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (19)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day ago | Buy | 3¢ | 396 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 2¢ | 179 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 2¢ | 100 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 2¢ | 6 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 2¢ | 14 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 2¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 1¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 7 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 6 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 6 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 6 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 6 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 15 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 6 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 7 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 8 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 6 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 2¢ | 9 |
Rules & resolution
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 13 12:00 PM ET to November 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
- Event:
- Elon Musk # tweets November 13 - November 20, 2026?
- Resolution source:
- https://x.com/elonmusk
- Note:
- Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).
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