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Updated 1 day ago

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

8 %

chance

▲ +0.5%24h
Yes 8¢No 93¢
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Market brief

  • Last 15 trades: 0 buys, 15 sells; the largest was $71 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 7% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before the end resolved YES (399 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 1 wk. (Nov 20, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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Elon Musk # tweets November 13 - November 20, 2026?

30 outcomes
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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$519.591

24h vol.

$321.62

Liquidity

$7K

End date

Nov 20, 2026

ends in 1 wk.

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$519.591

Bid / Ask

7¢ / 8¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

8¢

Start date

Nov 10, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
7¢$1,032
6¢$351
5¢$177
4¢$900
3¢$139
2¢$438
1¢$865
Asks (sell)Size
8¢$478
9¢$283
10¢$215
11¢$51
12¢$132
13¢$179
14¢$55
15¢$1,287
16¢$100
17¢$150

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (15)

Buys 0%Sells 100%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 day agoSell6¢6
1 day agoSell6¢20
1 day agoSell6¢14
2 days agoSell6¢6
2 days agoSell6¢6
2 days agoSell6¢6
2 days agoSell6¢6
2 days agoSell6¢15
2 days agoSell6¢5
2 days agoSell6¢6
2 days agoSell6¢8
2 days agoSell6¢7
2 days agoSell6¢76
2 days agoSell6¢6
2 days agoSell6¢9
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 13 12:00 PM ET to November 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 13 - November 20, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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