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Updated 1 day ago

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

8 %

chance

▼ −2.0%24h
Yes 8¢No 93¢

Market brief

  • Down 2.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 11% on Nov 10, 2026.
  • Last 31 trades: 7 buys, 24 sells; the largest was $108 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 7% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before the end resolved YES (399 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 1 wk. (Nov 20, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$3.6K

24h vol.

$2.7K

Liquidity

$8.7K

End date

Nov 20, 2026

ends in 1 wk.

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$3.6K

Bid / Ask

7¢ / 8¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

8¢

Start date

Nov 10, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
9¢$1,588
8¢$262
7¢$182
6¢$437
5¢$675
4¢$611
3¢$28,226
2¢$1,000
1¢$2,846
Asks (sell)Size
10¢$560
11¢$275
12¢$227
13¢$184
14¢$107
15¢$1,307
16¢$175
19¢$180
20¢$250
21¢$198

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (31)

Buys 26%Sells 74%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 day agoSell9¢72
1 day agoSell9¢58
1 day agoSell9¢6
1 day agoSell9¢14
1 day agoSell9¢20
1 day agoSell9¢103
1 day agoSell9¢59
1 day agoSell10¢30
1 day agoSell10¢30
1 day agoBuy10¢157
1 day agoBuy11¢20
1 day agoBuy11¢22
1 day agoBuy11¢20
1 day agoBuy11¢24
1 day agoBuy10¢10
2 days agoSell9¢103
2 days agoSell9¢119
2 days agoSell9¢6
2 days agoSell9¢6
2 days agoSell9¢6
2 days agoSell9¢6
2 days agoSell9¢15
2 days agoSell9¢5
2 days agoSell9¢6
2 days agoSell9¢7
2 days agoSell9¢8
2 days agoSell9¢6
2 days agoBuy11¢0
2 days agoSell9¢9
2 days agoSell9¢9
2 days agoSell9¢9
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 13 12:00 PM ET to November 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 13 - November 20, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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