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Updated 1 day ago

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

0 %

chance

▼ −0.3%1h▼ −0.9%24h
Yes 0¢No 100¢
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Market brief

  • At 0%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Last 29 trades: 1 buys, 28 sells; the largest was $100 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (602 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 1 wk. (Nov 20, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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Elon Musk # tweets November 13 - November 20, 2026?

30 outcomes
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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$1.8K

24h vol.

$282

Liquidity

$6.5K

End date

Nov 20, 2026

ends in 1 wk.

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$1.8K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 0¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Nov 10, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$300
0¢$2,095
0¢$6,550
0¢$42,735
Asks (sell)Size
2¢$33
2¢$39
2¢$22
2¢$5
2¢$42
3¢$262
3¢$41
4¢$128
4¢$100
5¢$8

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (29)

Buys 37%Sells 63%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 day agoSell0¢303
1 day agoSell0¢157
1 day agoSell1¢40
1 day agoBuy2¢583
1 day agoSell0¢100
1 day agoSell0¢14
1 day agoSell1¢6
1 day agoSell1¢20
1 day agoSell0¢100
2 days agoSell1¢7
2 days agoSell1¢20
2 days agoSell1¢20
2 days agoSell1¢20
2 days agoSell1¢20
2 days agoSell1¢20
2 days agoSell1¢20
2 days agoSell1¢20
2 days agoSell1¢6
2 days agoSell1¢6
2 days agoSell1¢6
2 days agoSell1¢6
2 days agoSell1¢15
2 days agoSell1¢5
2 days agoSell1¢6
2 days agoSell1¢7
2 days agoSell1¢8
2 days agoSell1¢6
2 days agoSell1¢9
2 days agoSell1¢5
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 13 12:00 PM ET to November 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 13 - November 20, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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