Updated 1 day ago
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?
3 %
chance
Market brief
- At 3%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
- Down 2.8 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 9% on Nov 10, 2026.
- Last 17 trades: 2 buys, 15 sells; the largest was $95 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (602 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
- Scheduled to end in 1 wk. (Nov 20, 2026).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Elon Musk # tweets November 13 - November 20, 2026?
30 outcomesUnderstand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$964.487
24h vol.
$608.703
Liquidity
$6.8K
End date
Nov 20, 2026
ends in 1 wk.
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
1w vol.
$964.487
Bid / Ask
2¢ / 3¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
3¢
Start date
Nov 10, 2026
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (17)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day ago | Buy | 6¢ | 117 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 5¢ | 100 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 5¢ | 6 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 5¢ | 14 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 5¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 6¢ | 17 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 6 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 6 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 6 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 6 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 15 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 6 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 7 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 8 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 6 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 9 |
Rules & resolution
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 13 12:00 PM ET to November 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
- Event:
- Elon Musk # tweets November 13 - November 20, 2026?
- Resolution source:
- https://x.com/elonmusk
- Note:
- Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).
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