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Updated 1 day ago

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

5 %

chance

▼ −0.2%1h▲ +1.7%24h
Yes 5¢No 95¢
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Market brief

  • Last 22 trades: 4 buys, 18 sells; the largest was $19 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 7% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before the end resolved YES (399 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 1 wk. (Nov 20, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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Elon Musk # tweets November 13 - November 20, 2026?

30 outcomes
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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$1.1K

24h vol.

$649.133

Liquidity

$5.7K

End date

Nov 20, 2026

ends in 1 wk.

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$1.1K

Bid / Ask

5¢ / 6¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

5¢

Start date

Nov 10, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
4¢$234
3¢$27
3¢$39
3¢$17
3¢$23
3¢$44
3¢$310
3¢$1,020
3¢$50
2¢$58
Asks (sell)Size
5¢$45
5¢$224
5¢$8
5¢$27
6¢$37
6¢$5
6¢$17
7¢$5
8¢$100
8¢$55

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (22)

Buys 42%Sells 58%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 day agoSell3¢67
1 day agoBuy3¢39
1 day agoBuy4¢58
1 day agoBuy4¢62
1 day agoBuy4¢57
1 day agoSell3¢46
1 day agoSell3¢6
1 day agoSell3¢14
1 day agoSell3¢20
1 day agoSell3¢31
1 day agoSell3¢28
2 days agoSell3¢6
2 days agoSell3¢6
2 days agoSell3¢6
2 days agoSell3¢6
2 days agoSell3¢15
2 days agoSell3¢5
2 days agoSell3¢6
2 days agoSell3¢7
2 days agoSell3¢8
2 days agoSell3¢6
2 days agoSell3¢9
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 13 12:00 PM ET to November 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 13 - November 20, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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