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Updated 32 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

0 %

chance

▼ −5.5%24h
Yes 0¢No 100¢
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Market brief

  • At 0%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Down 5.5 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 17% on Nov 13, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 20 buys, 30 sells; the largest was $1.15K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before the end resolved YES (843 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 1 day (Nov 16, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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Elon Musk # tweets November 14 - November 16, 2026?

10 outcomes
See all 10 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$46.2K

24h vol.

$43.9K

Liquidity

$34.2K

End date

Nov 16, 2026

ends in 1 day

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$46.2K

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Nov 12, 2026

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
0¢$21,954
0¢$1,190
0¢$181
1¢$111
1¢$111
1¢$244
1¢$646
1¢$400
1¢$5,500
2¢$177

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 66%Sells 34%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 hr. agoBuy0¢1
2 hr. agoSell0¢1,000
2 hr. agoSell0¢35
2 hr. agoSell0¢314
2 hr. agoSell0¢1,155
2 hr. agoSell0¢82
2 hr. agoSell0¢787
2 hr. agoBuy0¢2,500
2 hr. agoSell0¢3,146
2 hr. agoSell0¢290
2 hr. agoSell0¢5
2 hr. agoSell0¢7
2 hr. agoSell0¢6
2 hr. agoSell0¢10
2 hr. agoSell0¢5
2 hr. agoSell0¢7
2 hr. agoSell0¢20
2 hr. agoSell0¢8
2 hr. agoSell0¢7
2 hr. agoSell0¢10
3 hr. agoSell0¢5
3 hr. agoSell0¢28
3 hr. agoSell0¢6
4 hr. agoSell0¢42
4 hr. agoSell0¢32
4 hr. agoBuy1¢171
4 hr. agoBuy1¢171
4 hr. agoBuy1¢390
4 hr. agoSell0¢12
4 hr. agoBuy0¢500
4 hr. agoBuy0¢960
4 hr. agoSell0¢24
4 hr. agoSell0¢26
4 hr. agoBuy0¢1,409
4 hr. agoBuy0¢1,000
7 hr. agoBuy0¢598
7 hr. agoBuy0¢1,000
8 hr. agoBuy0¢843
8 hr. agoBuy0¢5,000
8 hr. agoBuy0¢83
8 hr. agoSell0¢334
8 hr. agoBuy0¢10
8 hr. agoSell0¢40
8 hr. agoBuy0¢8
8 hr. agoSell0¢25
8 hr. agoSell0¢7
8 hr. agoBuy1¢6
8 hr. agoBuy1¢11
8 hr. agoBuy1¢12
8 hr. agoBuy1¢11
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 14 12:00 PM ET to November 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 14 - November 16, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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