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Updated 17 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

28 %

chance

▼ −3.0%1h▼ −8.0%24h
Yes 28¢No 72¢

Market brief

  • Down 8.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 45% on Nov 15, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 31 buys, 19 sells; the largest was $153 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 28% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% one day before the end resolved YES (166 cases). The gap to their average price could still be chance.
  • Scheduled to end in 1 day (Nov 16, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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Elon Musk # tweets November 14 - November 16, 2026?

10 outcomes
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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$20K

24h vol.

$18.1K

Liquidity

$5.6K

End date

Nov 16, 2026

ends in 1 day

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$20K

Bid / Ask

28¢ / 29¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

29¢

Start date

Nov 12, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
33¢$27
32¢$200
31¢$100
30¢$113
29¢$346
28¢$49
27¢$20
26¢$167
25¢$10
24¢$60
Asks (sell)Size
34¢$139
35¢$80
36¢$1,062
37¢$404
38¢$476
39¢$215
40¢$313
41¢$218
42¢$171
43¢$241

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 42%Sells 58%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
21 min. agoSell33¢65
31 min. agoSell33¢188
36 min. agoBuy34¢30
46 min. agoBuy30¢5
46 min. agoBuy30¢100
47 min. agoBuy30¢5
47 min. agoBuy30¢6
48 min. agoBuy30¢6
55 min. agoSell30¢66
55 min. agoSell30¢19
57 min. agoSell33¢13
57 min. agoSell33¢9
57 min. agoSell33¢42
57 min. agoSell33¢228
60 min. agoSell33¢62
1 hr. agoBuy33¢9
1 hr. agoSell32¢5
1 hr. agoSell31¢16
1 hr. agoSell32¢9
1 hr. agoBuy31¢126
1 hr. agoBuy29¢8
1 hr. agoBuy29¢8
1 hr. agoBuy29¢8
1 hr. agoBuy29¢21
1 hr. agoBuy28¢10
1 hr. agoBuy27¢8
1 hr. agoBuy27¢8
1 hr. agoBuy27¢9
1 hr. agoBuy26¢16
1 hr. agoSell25¢20
1 hr. agoSell27¢41
1 hr. agoBuy29¢5
1 hr. agoBuy27¢11
1 hr. agoBuy27¢21
1 hr. agoBuy27¢18
1 hr. agoSell28¢25
1 hr. agoSell28¢32
1 hr. agoSell29¢46
1 hr. agoBuy29¢100
1 hr. agoBuy26¢11
1 hr. agoBuy26¢13
1 hr. agoBuy26¢25
1 hr. agoBuy26¢20
1 hr. agoBuy26¢20
1 hr. agoBuy26¢17
1 hr. agoBuy26¢15
1 hr. agoBuy26¢18
1 hr. agoBuy26¢17
2 hr. agoSell28¢11
2 hr. agoSell28¢48
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 14 12:00 PM ET to November 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 14 - November 16, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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