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Updated 17 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

2 %

chance

▼ −1.0%1h▲ +0.4%24h
Yes 2¢No 98¢
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Market brief

  • At 2%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Last 50 trades: 23 buys, 27 sells; the largest was $204 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before the end resolved YES (843 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 1 day (Nov 16, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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Elon Musk # tweets November 14 - November 16, 2026?

10 outcomes
See all 10 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$17.2K

24h vol.

$16K

Liquidity

$4.7K

End date

Nov 16, 2026

ends in 1 day

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$17.2K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 2¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Nov 12, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$20
1¢$151
1¢$1,321
1¢$314
1¢$1,650
1¢$16
0¢$658
0¢$3,806
0¢$5,106
0¢$17,261
Asks (sell)Size
2¢$16
2¢$20
2¢$114
2¢$100
3¢$5
3¢$84
3¢$369
3¢$451
4¢$215
4¢$100

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 53%Sells 47%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
57 min. agoBuy2¢14
1 hr. agoBuy1¢20
1 hr. agoBuy2¢20
1 hr. agoBuy2¢5
1 hr. agoSell2¢19
2 hr. agoSell3¢112
2 hr. agoSell2¢16
2 hr. agoSell2¢209
2 hr. agoSell2¢29
2 hr. agoSell2¢16
2 hr. agoSell3¢11
2 hr. agoSell2¢50
2 hr. agoBuy2¢100
2 hr. agoSell1¢6
2 hr. agoSell1¢7
2 hr. agoSell1¢24
2 hr. agoSell1¢5
2 hr. agoSell2¢8
2 hr. agoBuy2¢105
2 hr. agoSell2¢5
2 hr. agoSell1¢34
2 hr. agoSell1¢20
2 hr. agoBuy1¢219
2 hr. agoSell1¢5
2 hr. agoBuy1¢77
2 hr. agoSell1¢28
2 hr. agoBuy1¢5
2 hr. agoSell1¢5
2 hr. agoSell1¢6
2 hr. agoSell1¢7
2 hr. agoBuy1¢5
2 hr. agoSell1¢10
2 hr. agoSell1¢10
2 hr. agoBuy1¢5
2 hr. agoSell1¢20
2 hr. agoBuy1¢6
2 hr. agoSell1¢8
2 hr. agoSell1¢7
2 hr. agoSell1¢10
3 hr. agoBuy1¢5
3 hr. agoBuy1¢25
3 hr. agoBuy1¢8
3 hr. agoBuy1¢11
3 hr. agoBuy1¢20
3 hr. agoBuy1¢20
3 hr. agoBuy1¢20
3 hr. agoBuy1¢20
3 hr. agoBuy1¢20
3 hr. agoBuy1¢20
3 hr. agoBuy1¢20
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 14 12:00 PM ET to November 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 14 - November 16, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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