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Updated 17 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

6 %

chance

▼ −0.2%1h▲ +3.5%24h
Yes 6¢No 94¢
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Market brief

  • Up 3.5 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 1% on Nov 13, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 17 buys, 33 sells; the largest was $160 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 13% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% one day before the end resolved YES (136 cases). The gap to their average price could still be chance.
  • Scheduled to end in 1 day (Nov 16, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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Elon Musk # tweets November 14 - November 16, 2026?

10 outcomes
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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$15.8K

24h vol.

$14.7K

Liquidity

$4K

End date

Nov 16, 2026

ends in 1 day

What a plan adds on this market

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$15.8K

Bid / Ask

6¢ / 7¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

6¢

Start date

Nov 12, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
6¢$35
5¢$71
5¢$98
5¢$5
5¢$129
5¢$35
5¢$97
5¢$76
4¢$113
4¢$63
Asks (sell)Size
7¢$90
7¢$100
7¢$9
7¢$50
7¢$8
8¢$42
8¢$5
8¢$70
9¢$50
9¢$20

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 46%Sells 54%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
28 min. agoBuy6¢16
29 min. agoBuy6¢17
30 min. agoBuy6¢15
30 min. agoSell6¢122
45 min. agoSell6¢107
57 min. agoBuy7¢171
57 min. agoBuy7¢70
57 min. agoBuy7¢60
60 min. agoBuy7¢28
1 hr. agoSell5¢5
1 hr. agoSell6¢5
1 hr. agoBuy7¢40
1 hr. agoSell6¢295
2 hr. agoBuy6¢49
2 hr. agoBuy6¢6
2 hr. agoBuy4¢44
2 hr. agoBuy3¢101
2 hr. agoSell4¢91
2 hr. agoSell4¢7
2 hr. agoSell4¢8
2 hr. agoSell4¢6
2 hr. agoSell4¢10
2 hr. agoSell4¢25
2 hr. agoBuy5¢195
2 hr. agoSell4¢6
2 hr. agoSell4¢11
2 hr. agoSell4¢15
2 hr. agoSell5¢8
2 hr. agoSell5¢5
2 hr. agoBuy5¢40
2 hr. agoBuy4¢21
2 hr. agoBuy4¢39
2 hr. agoSell4¢82
2 hr. agoBuy3¢44
2 hr. agoSell3¢6
2 hr. agoSell3¢7
2 hr. agoSell3¢27
2 hr. agoSell3¢162
2 hr. agoSell3¢5
2 hr. agoSell3¢5
2 hr. agoSell3¢5
2 hr. agoSell3¢7
2 hr. agoSell3¢7
2 hr. agoSell3¢6
2 hr. agoSell3¢8
2 hr. agoSell3¢10
2 hr. agoSell3¢10
2 hr. agoSell3¢7
2 hr. agoSell3¢9
2 hr. agoSell3¢20
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 14 12:00 PM ET to November 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 14 - November 16, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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