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Updated 2 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

18 %

chance

▲ +0.5%1h▲ +11.5%24h
Yes 18¢No 82¢
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Market brief

  • Up 11.5 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 5% on Nov 14, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 29 buys, 21 sells; the largest was $183 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 28% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% one day before the end resolved YES (166 cases). The gap to their average price could still be chance.
  • Scheduled to end in 1 day (Nov 16, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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Elon Musk # tweets November 14 - November 16, 2026?

10 outcomes
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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$15.4K

24h vol.

$14.2K

Liquidity

$5.8K

End date

Nov 16, 2026

ends in 1 day

What a plan adds on this market

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$15.4K

Bid / Ask

17¢ / 19¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

20¢

Start date

Nov 12, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
17¢$83
16¢$229
15¢$1,019
14¢$14,416
13¢$326
12¢$341
11¢$71
10¢$160
9¢$477
8¢$10
Asks (sell)Size
19¢$300
21¢$96
22¢$138
23¢$256
24¢$83
25¢$128
26¢$108
27¢$333
28¢$80
29¢$20

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 81%Sells 19%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
10 min. agoBuy20¢35
11 min. agoBuy21¢55
12 min. agoSell18¢18
12 min. agoSell17¢14
12 min. agoSell19¢16
12 min. agoSell19¢46
12 min. agoBuy17¢113
23 min. agoBuy17¢105
33 min. agoBuy17¢12
54 min. agoBuy18¢16
57 min. agoBuy17¢7
57 min. agoSell17¢6
57 min. agoBuy17¢59
57 min. agoBuy17¢7
57 min. agoSell16¢57
60 min. agoBuy17¢12
1 hr. agoBuy17¢32
1 hr. agoSell16¢11
1 hr. agoBuy18¢8
1 hr. agoBuy21¢20
1 hr. agoSell20¢55
1 hr. agoSell22¢74
1 hr. agoBuy23¢50
1 hr. agoBuy22¢50
1 hr. agoBuy21¢57
1 hr. agoBuy20¢32
1 hr. agoSell20¢7
1 hr. agoBuy19¢32
1 hr. agoBuy21¢31
1 hr. agoSell21¢6
1 hr. agoBuy22¢85
2 hr. agoBuy17¢95
2 hr. agoBuy17¢5
2 hr. agoBuy16¢26
2 hr. agoBuy13¢1,406
2 hr. agoBuy12¢15
2 hr. agoBuy12¢51
2 hr. agoBuy11¢5
2 hr. agoSell11¢165
2 hr. agoSell12¢6
2 hr. agoSell12¢8
2 hr. agoSell12¢8
2 hr. agoSell12¢26
2 hr. agoBuy15¢205
2 hr. agoSell11¢27
2 hr. agoSell13¢27
2 hr. agoBuy15¢13
2 hr. agoSell13¢12
2 hr. agoSell13¢13
2 hr. agoSell13¢30
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 14 12:00 PM ET to November 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 14 - November 16, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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