Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31? odds
19 independent outcomes · $61.5K traded · updated 3 days ago
Resolves Jan 1, 2027
These outcomes are independent — they do not compete, and more than one can happen. That is why the percentages here add up to more than 100%.
ThresholdChance24hVolume7d
- Denver, CO91 %▲ +6.0%$11.2K
- Las Vegas, NV82 %▲ +5.0%$7.9K
- Sacramento, CA18 %▲ +5.0%$8K
- Philadelphia, PA14 %▲ +1.5%$3.8K
- Seattle, WA13 %▲ +7.0%$2.1K
- Chicago, IL13 %▲ +4.0%$1.4K
- Detroit, MI13 %▲ +3.5%$3.6K
- St. Louis, MO10 %▼ −4.5%$938.354
- Charlotte, NC10 %▼ −0.5%$779.177
- New York, NY9 %▲ +1.0%$2.2K
- Pittsburgh, PA9 %▲ +1.0%$1.5K
- Minneapolis, MN8 %▲ +1.0%$2.7K
Frequently asked questions
- Why do these add up to more than 100%?
- Because these outcomes are independent rather than competing. Several of them can happen at once, so their probabilities do not have to sum to 100%.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
Related events
Which company has the best AI model end of October?Google71 %19 outcomes$2.9MLargest Company end of October 2026?NVIDIA84 %9 outcomes$590.8KWhich company has the best AI model end of November?Google48 %21 outcomes$328.1KNext Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?October 2032 %14 outcomes$117.7KAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap$1.75–$2.0T26 %10 outcomes$1.9MLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?SpaceX64 %12 outcomes$6.6M
Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Nothing on Market Guy is financial advice — it is research tooling to help you think, not a signal to trade.