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Updated 1 day ago

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio?

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio?

Politics
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0 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Market brief

  • Last 50 trades: 9 buys, 41 sells; the largest was $6.37K (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before the end resolved YES (700 cases).
  • Scheduled to end in 20 hr. (Nov 3, 2026).

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Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)

50 outcomes
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Total volume

$1.2M

24h vol.

$35.6K

1w vol.

$1.2M

1m vol.

$1.2M

Liquidity

$1.2M

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Oct 26, 2026

End date

Nov 3, 2026

ends in 20 hr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 700 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before resolution, 1.9% resolved YES. Their average price was 0.8%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
  • Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
  • Smart moneyPro+Who holds the largest positions here, and how each wallet has done on resolved markets.
See plans · 7 days for $3
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$1,299
0¢$10,202
0¢$4,193,920
0¢$234,690
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$345
1¢$1,148,981
1¢$200
1¢$6,100
1¢$14,273
1¢$8,990
1¢$5,000
2¢$247
2¢$213
3¢$47

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 99%Sells 1%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 day agoSell0¢2
1 day agoBuy1¢11,180
1 day agoSell0¢20
1 day agoBuy0¢2,223
1 day agoBuy0¢250
1 day agoSell0¢20
1 day agoBuy0¢250
1 day agoSell0¢11
2 days agoSell0¢140
2 days agoSell0¢20
2 days agoSell0¢1
2 days agoBuy0¢2,862
2 days agoBuy0¢1,333
2 days agoSell0¢933
2 days agoSell0¢501
2 days agoSell0¢751
2 days agoSell0¢751
2 days agoSell0¢751
2 days agoSell0¢501
2 days agoSell0¢751
2 days agoSell0¢501
2 days agoSell0¢634
2 days agoSell0¢410
2 days agoSell1¢7
2 days agoSell1¢300
2 days agoSell1¢100
2 days agoBuy1¢400
2 days agoBuy1¢1,061,303
2 days agoBuy1¢13,421
3 days agoSell0¢1
3 days agoSell1¢100
3 days agoSell1¢100
3 days agoSell1¢100
3 days agoSell1¢100
3 days agoSell1¢100
3 days agoSell1¢97
3 days agoSell1¢100
3 days agoSell1¢6,858
3 days agoSell1¢1
3 days agoSell1¢3
3 days agoSell1¢1
3 days agoSell1¢1
3 days agoSell1¢1
3 days agoSell1¢100
3 days agoSell1¢5
3 days agoSell1¢5
3 days agoSell1¢5
3 days agoSell1¢24
3 days agoSell1¢150
3 days agoSell1¢5

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