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Updated 9 hr. ago

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Maine?

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Maine?

Politics
Watch this market

0 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Market brief

  • Last 50 trades: 4 buys, 46 sells; the largest was $9.96K (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before the end resolved YES (700 cases).
  • Scheduled to end in 20 hr. (Nov 3, 2026).

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Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)

50 outcomes
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Total volume

$266.1K

24h vol.

$149.5K

1w vol.

$266.1K

1m vol.

$266.1K

Liquidity

$1.2M

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 0¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Oct 26, 2026

End date

Nov 3, 2026

ends in 20 hr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 700 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before resolution, 1.9% resolved YES. Their average price was 0.8%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$5,450,748
Asks (sell)Size
0¢$87,767
0¢$39,322
0¢$1,069,059
1¢$11,120
1¢$420
1¢$220
1¢$100
1¢$1,000
2¢$200
2¢$1,021

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 40%Sells 60%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
9 hr. agoBuy0¢500
11 hr. agoSell0¢38
11 hr. agoSell0¢200
11 hr. agoBuy0¢349
11 hr. agoBuy0¢369
11 hr. agoSell0¢100
11 hr. agoSell0¢91
11 hr. agoSell0¢1,000
11 hr. agoSell0¢10,000
12 hr. agoSell0¢171
12 hr. agoSell0¢59
13 hr. agoSell0¢100
13 hr. agoSell0¢100
15 hr. agoSell0¢100
15 hr. agoSell0¢100
15 hr. agoSell0¢25
15 hr. agoSell0¢100
15 hr. agoSell0¢100
15 hr. agoSell0¢100
15 hr. agoSell0¢100
15 hr. agoSell0¢100
15 hr. agoSell0¢100
15 hr. agoSell0¢100
15 hr. agoSell0¢100
15 hr. agoSell0¢100
15 hr. agoSell0¢100
15 hr. agoBuy0¢10,000
15 hr. agoSell0¢300
16 hr. agoSell0¢100
16 hr. agoSell0¢100
16 hr. agoSell0¢100
16 hr. agoSell0¢100
16 hr. agoSell0¢100
16 hr. agoSell0¢100
16 hr. agoSell0¢100
16 hr. agoSell0¢15
16 hr. agoSell0¢1,096
16 hr. agoSell0¢100
16 hr. agoSell0¢100
17 hr. agoSell0¢842
17 hr. agoSell0¢286
18 hr. agoSell0¢50
18 hr. agoSell0¢50
18 hr. agoSell0¢50
18 hr. agoSell0¢50
18 hr. agoSell0¢50
18 hr. agoSell0¢50
20 hr. agoSell0¢50
20 hr. agoSell0¢50
20 hr. agoSell0¢50

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