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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will The Debut win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

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1 %

chance

▼ −0.1%24h▼ −0.6%1W
Yes 1¢No 100¢

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

27 outcomes
See all 27 outcomes

Total volume

$10.6K

24h vol.

$1.2K

1w vol.

$3.1K

1m vol.

$5.2K

Liquidity

$13.5K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 1¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Jul 28, 2026

End date

Jul 1, 2027

ends in 8 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 400 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 4¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$100
0¢$883
0¢$1,067
Asks (sell)Size
4¢$30
4¢$92
7¢$45
13¢$85
13¢$123
14¢$100
14¢$30
19¢$23
19¢$50
19¢$30

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 83%Sells 17%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy2¢50
1 mo. agoSell2¢50
1 mo. agoBuy98¢86
1 mo. agoBuy2¢31
1 mo. agoSell98¢20
1 mo. agoBuy2¢35
1 mo. agoBuy98¢40
1 mo. agoBuy2¢40
1 mo. agoBuy98¢20
1 mo. agoBuy2¢20
1 mo. agoBuy98¢45
1 mo. agoBuy2¢29
1 mo. agoSell98¢16
1 mo. agoSell2¢5
1 mo. agoBuy2¢5
1 mo. agoBuy99¢8
1 mo. agoSell99¢8
1 mo. agoBuy99¢6
1 mo. agoSell99¢6
1 mo. agoBuy99¢10
1 mo. agoSell99¢10
1 mo. agoBuy98¢25
1 mo. agoBuy2¢25
1 mo. agoBuy98¢6
1 mo. agoBuy2¢6
1 mo. agoBuy98¢5
1 mo. agoBuy2¢5
1 mo. agoBuy96¢135
1 mo. agoBuy4¢135
1 mo. agoBuy96¢12
1 mo. agoBuy4¢12
1 mo. agoBuy98¢60
1 mo. agoBuy2¢14
1 mo. agoBuy2¢39
1 mo. agoSell96¢7
1 mo. agoBuy98¢65
1 mo. agoBuy2¢5
1 mo. agoSell98¢20
1 mo. agoSell98¢40
1 mo. agoBuy96¢70
1 mo. agoSell96¢11
1 mo. agoSell96¢40
1 mo. agoBuy4¢19
1 mo. agoBuy96¢7
1 mo. agoBuy4¢7
1 mo. agoBuy96¢8
1 mo. agoBuy4¢8
1 mo. agoBuy96¢19
1 mo. agoBuy4¢19
1 mo. agoBuy96¢9

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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Related markets

The most-traded open Culture markets from other events.