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Updated 4 min. ago

Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

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16 %

chance

▼ −0.4%24h▲ +13.8%1W
Yes 16¢No 84¢

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

27 outcomes
See all 27 outcomes

Total volume

$20.4K

24h vol.

$10.1K

1w vol.

$18.9K

1m vol.

$20.4K

Liquidity

$10.1K

Bid / Ask

15¢ / 17¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

18¢

Start date

Jul 28, 2026

End date

Mar 14, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 154 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.1% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
15¢$154
15¢$126
15¢$51
14¢$5
14¢$460
12¢$5
12¢$373
12¢$1,000
12¢$51
11¢$5
Asks (sell)Size
16¢$60
16¢$88
18¢$761
18¢$10
18¢$124
19¢$100
19¢$140
19¢$115
19¢$500
19¢$149

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 87%Sells 13%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 hr. agoBuy84¢503
4 hr. agoBuy15¢124
4 hr. agoBuy16¢219
4 hr. agoBuy16¢100
4 hr. agoSell84¢59
5 hr. agoBuy18¢54
5 hr. agoBuy82¢54
6 hr. agoBuy84¢50
6 hr. agoBuy16¢50
7 hr. agoBuy84¢1,031
7 hr. agoBuy16¢731
7 hr. agoBuy16¢200
7 hr. agoSell84¢29
7 hr. agoSell84¢71
7 hr. agoBuy84¢29
7 hr. agoSell84¢29
9 hr. agoBuy84¢50
9 hr. agoSell84¢50
9 hr. agoBuy84¢10
9 hr. agoSell84¢10
9 hr. agoBuy84¢10
9 hr. agoSell84¢0
9 hr. agoBuy17¢10
9 hr. agoBuy83¢7
9 hr. agoBuy17¢7
9 hr. agoBuy83¢152
9 hr. agoBuy17¢152
9 hr. agoBuy83¢100
9 hr. agoSell83¢100
9 hr. agoBuy83¢100
9 hr. agoSell83¢10
9 hr. agoSell83¢20
9 hr. agoSell83¢70
10 hr. agoBuy83¢10
10 hr. agoSell83¢10
11 hr. agoBuy83¢20
11 hr. agoSell83¢20
11 hr. agoBuy83¢132
11 hr. agoBuy17¢32
11 hr. agoSell83¢100
12 hr. agoBuy83¢55
12 hr. agoSell83¢55
14 hr. agoBuy83¢7
14 hr. agoBuy17¢7
14 hr. agoBuy83¢29
14 hr. agoBuy17¢19
14 hr. agoBuy17¢10
14 hr. agoBuy83¢19
14 hr. agoBuy17¢9
14 hr. agoBuy17¢10

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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