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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

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1 %

chance

▼ −0.3%24h▲ +0.6%1W
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

27 outcomes
See all 27 outcomes

Total volume

$10K

24h vol.

$1.2K

1w vol.

$3.8K

1m vol.

$5.3K

Liquidity

$48.8K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 1¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Jul 28, 2026

End date

Mar 14, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 400 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$100
0¢$271
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$5
1¢$24
2¢$20
3¢$12
5¢$80
5¢$32
5¢$10
11¢$85
11¢$85
15¢$10

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 97%Sells 3%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell0¢50
1 mo. agoBuy0¢48
1 mo. agoBuy0¢2
1 mo. agoSell0¢2
1 mo. agoBuy0¢2
1 mo. agoSell0¢1
1 mo. agoBuy0¢1
1 mo. agoBuy100¢45
1 mo. agoBuy0¢45
1 mo. agoBuy99¢21
1 mo. agoBuy1¢21
1 mo. agoBuy99¢20
1 mo. agoBuy1¢20
1 mo. agoBuy99¢40
1 mo. agoBuy1¢17
1 mo. agoBuy1¢23
1 mo. agoBuy99¢86
1 mo. agoBuy0¢44
1 mo. agoBuy1¢42
1 mo. agoBuy99¢8
1 mo. agoBuy1¢8
1 mo. agoBuy99¢6
1 mo. agoBuy1¢6
1 mo. agoBuy99¢10
1 mo. agoBuy1¢10
1 mo. agoBuy99¢31
1 mo. agoBuy1¢31
1 mo. agoBuy99¢104
1 mo. agoBuy1¢104
1 mo. agoBuy99¢96
1 mo. agoBuy1¢96
1 mo. agoBuy99¢77
1 mo. agoBuy1¢77
1 mo. agoBuy99¢5
1 mo. agoBuy1¢5
1 mo. agoBuy99¢12
1 mo. agoBuy1¢12
1 mo. agoBuy99¢70
1 mo. agoBuy1¢70
1 mo. agoBuy99¢135
1 mo. agoBuy1¢135
1 mo. agoBuy99¢6
1 mo. agoBuy1¢6
1 mo. agoBuy95¢7
1 mo. agoBuy5¢7
1 mo. agoBuy5¢8
1 mo. agoBuy95¢8
1 mo. agoBuy95¢6
1 mo. agoBuy5¢6
1 mo. agoBuy99¢2

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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