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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

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2 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▼ −0.2%24h▼ −0.5%1W
Yes 2¢No 98¢

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

27 outcomes
See all 27 outcomes

Total volume

$19.8K

24h vol.

$1.2K

1w vol.

$5.3K

1m vol.

$11.2K

Liquidity

$15.3K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 3¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

Jul 28, 2026

End date

Mar 14, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 400 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
4¢$85
1¢$5
Asks (sell)Size
5¢$196
6¢$71
7¢$60
8¢$250
9¢$110
10¢$30
12¢$27
13¢$316
14¢$2,578
15¢$60

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 99%Sells 1%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell4¢8
1 mo. agoBuy4¢8
1 mo. agoSell4¢17
1 mo. agoBuy4¢17
1 mo. agoBuy95¢45
1 mo. agoBuy5¢31
1 mo. agoBuy5¢14
1 mo. agoBuy94¢20
1 mo. agoBuy6¢20
1 mo. agoBuy95¢86
1 mo. agoBuy5¢46
1 mo. agoBuy5¢30
1 mo. agoBuy6¢10
1 mo. agoBuy94¢86
1 mo. agoBuy6¢7
1 mo. agoBuy6¢80
1 mo. agoBuy95¢40
1 mo. agoBuy5¢40
1 mo. agoBuy93¢454
1 mo. agoBuy7¢80
1 mo. agoBuy7¢374
1 mo. agoSell7¢2
1 mo. agoBuy7¢2
1 mo. agoBuy93¢8
1 mo. agoBuy7¢8
1 mo. agoBuy93¢10
1 mo. agoBuy7¢10
1 mo. agoBuy93¢6
1 mo. agoBuy7¢6
1 mo. agoBuy94¢77
1 mo. agoBuy6¢77
1 mo. agoBuy94¢31
1 mo. agoBuy6¢31
1 mo. agoBuy94¢104
1 mo. agoBuy6¢104
1 mo. agoBuy94¢5
1 mo. agoBuy6¢5
1 mo. agoBuy94¢6
1 mo. agoBuy6¢6
1 mo. agoBuy94¢30
1 mo. agoBuy6¢30
1 mo. agoBuy94¢96
1 mo. agoBuy6¢96
1 mo. agoBuy94¢65
1 mo. agoBuy6¢65
1 mo. agoBuy94¢70
1 mo. agoBuy6¢70
1 mo. agoBuy94¢12
1 mo. agoBuy6¢12
1 mo. agoBuy94¢22

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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