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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Fjord win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

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1 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −0.2%1W
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

27 outcomes
See all 27 outcomes

Total volume

$11.1K

24h vol.

$1.2K

1w vol.

$3.4K

1m vol.

$6.2K

Liquidity

$15.4K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Jul 28, 2026

End date

Mar 14, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 400 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$1,307
1¢$5,005
0¢$300
0¢$15
Asks (sell)Size
3¢$30
3¢$252
3¢$402
3¢$1,207
3¢$20
3¢$80
5¢$22
6¢$100
6¢$100
6¢$100

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 98%Sells 2%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell1¢35
1 mo. agoBuy1¢35
1 mo. agoSell1¢2
1 mo. agoBuy1¢2
1 mo. agoBuy99¢20
1 mo. agoBuy1¢20
1 mo. agoBuy99¢86
1 mo. agoBuy1¢86
1 mo. agoBuy99¢40
1 mo. agoBuy1¢40
1 mo. agoBuy99¢86
1 mo. agoBuy1¢42
1 mo. agoBuy1¢44
1 mo. agoBuy99¢45
1 mo. agoBuy1¢45
1 mo. agoBuy99¢8
1 mo. agoBuy1¢8
1 mo. agoBuy99¢6
1 mo. agoBuy1¢6
1 mo. agoBuy99¢10
1 mo. agoBuy1¢10
1 mo. agoBuy98¢31
1 mo. agoBuy2¢31
1 mo. agoBuy98¢77
1 mo. agoBuy2¢77
1 mo. agoBuy98¢96
1 mo. agoBuy2¢96
1 mo. agoBuy98¢104
1 mo. agoBuy2¢9
1 mo. agoBuy2¢95
1 mo. agoBuy98¢5
1 mo. agoBuy2¢5
1 mo. agoBuy98¢6
1 mo. agoBuy2¢6
1 mo. agoBuy98¢12
1 mo. agoBuy2¢12
1 mo. agoBuy98¢135
1 mo. agoBuy2¢72
1 mo. agoBuy2¢15
1 mo. agoBuy2¢48
1 mo. agoBuy98¢40
1 mo. agoBuy2¢40
1 mo. agoBuy98¢70
1 mo. agoBuy2¢70
1 mo. agoBuy98¢7
1 mo. agoBuy2¢7
1 mo. agoBuy98¢8
1 mo. agoBuy2¢8
1 mo. agoBuy97¢19
1 mo. agoBuy3¢19

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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