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Updated 4 wk. ago
Will Avengers: Doomsday win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
0 %
chance
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
27 outcomes- The Odyssey47 %
- La Bola Negra19 %
- You Can See Everything16 %
- Dune: Part Three10 %
- Digger4 %
- Wild Horse Nine2 %
- Fjord1 %
- Project Hail Mary1 %
- The Invite1 %
- The Social Reckoning1 %
- The Debut1 %
- Elsinore0 %
- I Play Rocky0 %
- Artificial0 %
- Josephine0 %
- Obsession0 %
- Behemoth!0 %
- Tony0 %
- The Drama0 %
- The Adventures of Cliff Booth0 %
- Saturn Return0 %
- Fatherland0 %
- All of a Sudden0 %
- Avengers: Doomsday0 %
- Disclosure Day0 %
- Clarissa0 %
- Michael0 %
Total volume
$1.6K
24h vol.
$11.02
1w vol.
$887.218
1m vol.
$1.6K
Liquidity
$9.7K
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Jul 28, 2026
End date
Mar 14, 2027
ends in 5 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 400 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 11 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 11 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 11 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 11 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 86 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 86 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 45 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 45 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 21 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 104 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 104 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 31 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 31 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 77 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 77 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 96 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 96 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 135 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 135 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 19 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 19 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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