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Updated 5 days ago

Will "Obsession" win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

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0 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Total volume

$4K

24h vol.

$1.5K

1w vol.

$4K

1m vol.

$4K

Liquidity

$11.7K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 0¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Jul 28, 2026

End date

Mar 14, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 400 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
1¢$125
1¢$66
2¢$40
2¢$100
2¢$100
3¢$100
3¢$100
3¢$100
3¢$10
5¢$50

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (4)

Buys 50%Sells 50%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
6 days agoSell0¢1
6 days agoBuy0¢1
6 days agoSell0¢10
6 days agoBuy0¢10

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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Related markets

The most-traded open Culture markets from other events.