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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

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10 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▲ +0.5%24h▼ −5.5%1W
Yes 10¢No 91¢

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

27 outcomes
See all 27 outcomes

Total volume

$30.8K

24h vol.

$1.2K

1w vol.

$3.3K

1m vol.

$12.3K

Liquidity

$18.2K

Bid / Ask

9¢ / 10¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

10¢

Start date

Jul 28, 2026

End date

Mar 14, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 221 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 16.7% resolved YES. That is 7.1 points more often than their average price of 9.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
9¢$200
8¢$1,967
7¢$372
6¢$1,510
5¢$30
4¢$800
1¢$1,036
Asks (sell)Size
11¢$5
12¢$420
13¢$40
14¢$150
15¢$40
16¢$260
17¢$251
18¢$262
20¢$5
21¢$5

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 92%Sells 8%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell8¢18
1 mo. agoBuy8¢18
1 mo. agoBuy90¢40
1 mo. agoBuy10¢39
1 mo. agoBuy13¢1
1 mo. agoBuy90¢20
1 mo. agoBuy10¢18
1 mo. agoBuy10¢3
1 mo. agoBuy90¢86
1 mo. agoBuy10¢37
1 mo. agoBuy10¢41
1 mo. agoBuy10¢8
1 mo. agoBuy92¢45
1 mo. agoBuy8¢45
1 mo. agoBuy89¢30
1 mo. agoBuy11¢30
1 mo. agoSell13¢2
1 mo. agoBuy13¢2
1 mo. agoBuy87¢8
1 mo. agoBuy13¢8
1 mo. agoBuy87¢6
1 mo. agoBuy13¢6
1 mo. agoBuy87¢10
1 mo. agoBuy13¢10
1 mo. agoBuy13¢73
1 mo. agoSell13¢40
1 mo. agoBuy87¢32
1 mo. agoSell11¢67
1 mo. agoBuy10¢28
1 mo. agoBuy12¢39
1 mo. agoBuy88¢5
1 mo. agoBuy12¢5
1 mo. agoBuy87¢33
1 mo. agoBuy13¢33
1 mo. agoBuy88¢6
1 mo. agoBuy12¢6
1 mo. agoBuy87¢22
1 mo. agoBuy13¢17
1 mo. agoBuy13¢5
1 mo. agoBuy87¢30
1 mo. agoBuy13¢30
1 mo. agoBuy87¢40
1 mo. agoBuy13¢40
1 mo. agoBuy86¢70
1 mo. agoBuy13¢20
1 mo. agoBuy14¢50
1 mo. agoBuy87¢135
1 mo. agoBuy13¢55
1 mo. agoBuy13¢80
1 mo. agoBuy87¢12

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A signal is present in this market.

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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